

Dramatic scenes are unfolding in the precious metals market these days, causing a stir among investors worldwide. After a months-long record run, the gold price is experiencing a sharp correction and is sliding massively below the 4,270 USD per ounce mark in current trading. Within a very short time, significant price gains from the year so far have been erased. This sharp downward momentum is driven by a restrictive monetary policy sentiment and surprising forecast cuts from leading Wall Street banks, which are weighing on short- and medium-term developments.
Even if the current setback looks painful, a look at the raw figures of price development reveals a completely different reality. Precious metals are not sprint investments, but marathon assets. The tables from June 2026 impressively show that the long-term dynamics remain absolutely intact despite the short-term dip:
| Period | Value USD | % USD | Value EUR | % EUR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since Jan 1, 2026 | -153.41 USD | -3.54 % | -70.15 EUR | -1.90 % |
| 30 Days | -529.96 USD | -11.24 % | -387.04 EUR | -9.65 % |
| 6 Months | -22.98 USD | -0.55 % | +4.05 EUR | +0.11 % |
| 1 Year | +859.60 USD | +25.85 % | +711.43 EUR | +24.43 % |
| 5 Years | +2,296.38 USD | +121.56 % | +2,072.25 EUR | +133.59 % |
| 10 Years | +2,916.28 USD | +229.78 % | +2,501.99 EUR | +223.11 % |
| Period | Value USD | % USD | Value EUR | % EUR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since Jan 1, 2026 | -12.26 USD | -16.08 % | -9.51 EUR | -14.66 % |
| 30 Days | -16.35 USD | -20.35 % | -12.95 EUR | -18.95 % |
| 6 Months | +3.32 USD | +5.47 % | +3.20 EUR | +6.13 % |
| 1 Year | +27.24 USD | +74.12 % | +23.20 EUR | +72.09 % |
| 5 Years | +36.20 USD | +130.26 % | +32.56 EUR | +142.68 % |
| 10 Years | +46.68 USD | +269.67 % | +40.09 EUR | +262.20 % |
The fundamental base that had supported the gold price for months is showing deep cracks. The major US bank Citigroup has lowered its three-month price target for the shiny precious metal from 4,300 to 4,000 USD per ounce. Experts warn urgently in their reports: should the blockade of the strategically important Strait of Hormuz continue and physical demand for bars and coins simultaneously continue to collapse, the gold forecast could even deteriorate toward 3,500 USD. In lockstep, the Swiss bank UBS also corrected its expectations downward, lowering its year-end forecast from 5,900 to 5,500 USD.
Particularly noteworthy for market observers is a current technical chart anomaly. The heavy sell-off in the gold price continues unabated, even though expectations for upcoming US interest rate hikes have actually decreased slightly in recent hours. Following the extremely strong US labor market data (NFP), futures markets are currently pricing in only one single interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve for the current year – just a few days ago, this value stood at 1.2 steps. The fact that the gold and silver price forecast is clouding over despite this slight easing on the interest rate front indicates massive institutional selling pressure.
The weakness in the gold price is by no means isolated but is part of a broad market environment of general risk aversion. Prices for US crude oil (WTI) have slipped below the psychological mark of 90 USD per barrel. What should theoretically support the gold price through easing inflationary pressure is fizzling out without effect. Instead, a raw flight from risk assets dominates: capital is being withdrawn on a large scale from Wall Street, which is reflected in the significant retreat of major US stock indices such as the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100. Investors are primarily using the current environment for aggressive profit-taking after a months-long record run.
"The best time to buy is when there is blood in the streets – even if it is your own." – This old Wall Street mantra is more relevant today than ever.
While short-term oriented traders are panicking and liquidating their positions, an excellent window of opportunity is opening for long-term investors. The fact that gold and silver prices are currently falling does absolutely nothing to change the long-term macroeconomic problems of the global debt economy. Paper currencies are being continuously devalued by the ongoing expansion of the money supply.
This is exactly why I am consistently taking advantage of the current market weakness. It is an excellent, strategic entry point. Even if the charts may go a bit further down in the coming days, I am currently buying small positions of gold and silver in a targeted manner with every dip. The principle of the "Cost-Average Effect" ensures that I achieve an excellent average price over time.
Do not be unsettled by the short-term revised forecasts of the major banks. History shows that sharp shakeouts in the precious metals market often form the foundation for the next, even stronger upward wave. Physical tangible assets remain the ultimate rock in the surf.
Would you like to take advantage of the current discount prices on the market and position your assets to be crisis-proof? The Spargold App offers you the perfect, secure access. Buy physical gold and silver flexibly and transparently directly via your smartphone. Rely on real values instead of paper promises and start using the dip for your financial future.
Stay forward-looking
Yours, Nils Gregersen
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. The content merely reflects the personal opinion of the author. Every investment in securities, cryptocurrencies, or precious metals is associated with risks up to and including total loss. Inform yourself independently before making financial decisions.