Silver Price Ahead of Fed Decision: Is an Interest Rate Shock Looming on Wednesday?

It is late April 2026, and nervousness in the financial markets is palpable. While the silver price is currently consolidating at around 75.70 USD (approx. 64.71 EUR), all eyes are on the coming Wednesday. The US Federal Reserve is calling for a dance – and the decision could become a historic turning point for the white metal.

The Fed Showdown: Interest Rate Fear vs. Inflation Protection

The starting position is highly explosive. For weeks, silver has been fighting for the next major breakout. However, two opposing forces are holding the market in a stranglehold:

• The Inflation Sledgehammer: The escalation in the Middle East has driven oil prices massively upward. A structural energy deficit threatens to fuel global inflation once again.
• The Fed Dilemma: Higher inflation theoretically forces the Fed into a more restrictive monetary policy. Rising bond yields are traditionally a headwind for non-interest-bearing precious metals.

But 2026 is not 2022. The market is beginning to realize that silver is far more than just a speculative asset.

Technical Analysis: Is the 100-Dollar Mark Within Reach?

Analysts from ING Markets and other leading firms see a clear target despite short-term volatility: 100 US dollars per troy ounce. As long as support in the 72 USD range holds, the bullish scenario remains intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently trading in neutral territory at approx. 49 points – meaning the market is by no means overheated and has massive room to the upside.

The Fundamental Backbone: The Sixth Consecutive Year of Deficit

Aside from monetary policy, a fundamental storm is brewing. Experts expect 2026 to be the sixth consecutive year in which silver demand exceeds supply. Since 2021, global inventories have shrunk by a massive 762 million ounces.

Why Industry is "Devouring" Silver:

1. Photovoltaic Boom: China increased the installation of new solar plants by 34% in early 2026. Silver is irreplaceable here due to its conductivity.
2. AI & Data Centers: High-performance chips and the infrastructure for Artificial Intelligence are consuming more and more silver reserves.
3. Safe Haven: In times when the Strait of Hormuz is blocked and supply chains are politicized, investors flee to physical assets.

Conclusion: Use the Calm Before the Storm

Whether a brief "interest rate shock" comes on Wednesday or the Fed gives the starting signal for the next rally – the long-term direction seems predetermined by industrial scarcity and geopolitical instability. Paper promises and volatile stock markets could quickly come under pressure in the event of a further escalation in energy prices.

Precious metals as a rock in the surf: While traders bet on the next Fed move, smart investors rely on substance. Silver and Gold are the only currencies that cannot be printed. With the Spargold App, you secure physical silver directly on your smartphone – safely stored and tradable at any time. Take advantage of the current consolidation before the market creates new facts on Wednesday.

Stay forward-looking

Yours, Nils Gregersen